Last Chance for Gas

Two people you wouldn't expect, David Gergen and Nate Silver, making the late case for Clinton as the game-changer Obama needs (Gergen also mentions Gore). They are both right but, what Obama has been personally told by Tom Daschle is to pick someone whom is an ally, someone whom he already trusts, on his side from the get-go - and not have to build it with the VP choice going forward. No offense to David & Nate, but I think Obama's listening to Tom on his VP choice.

Other than Clinton or Gore, there is one other game-changer out there: John Kerry. I know that will raise the ire of many among us, but not myself. If JK is picked, I'll delve more into it, but suffice to point to a HuffPost on the topic by M.S. Bellows, Jr. and Mayhill Fowler.

Kerry's a better choice than Tom Daschle, and a better choice than Biden, Kaine, or Bayh. OK, I've convinced myself, and now officially abandon Daschle with my VP prediction moving to Kerry. Look, if Obama's not going to choose Clinton (all signs point toward that being the case), and Gore is unavailable, then given the late date, it seems likely to be someone that's very well known and ready to go, which is a description of very few Democrats, one of which is Kerry.



Display:


Re: Last Chance for Gas (2.00 / 2)

Ha, ha, whatever.


by Jerome Armstrong on Thu Aug 21, 2008 at 08:54:25 AM EST

Re: Last Chance for Gas (none / 0)

Hmmm... I'm starting to put stock in the "Jerome's using MyDD to dump old InTrade buys" hypothesis.

First, Daschle:

Note the nice little bump a few days ago (when you mentioned Daschle), followed by a collapse (after you sold?).

Now, Kerry:

I think you missed the high last week and you're trying to bump it back up a little bit.

Insider trading! Insider trading! Someone call the SEC!!!


by TCQuad on Thu Aug 21, 2008 at 09:24:05 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Last Chance for Gas (none / 0)

Good one ;)_


by Jerome Armstrong on Thu Aug 21, 2008 at 09:36:24 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Last Chance for Gas (none / 0)

Jerome I am taking it they reached out...

Kerry?

You overplay to the point of comedy =p


by dtaylor2 on Thu Aug 21, 2008 at 04:40:22 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Last Chance for Gas (none / 0)

Did you just "ha ha whatever" your own OP?

Ha Ha!

/Nelson


John McCain, maverick
by lojasmo on Thu Aug 21, 2008 at 02:46:39 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Last Chance for Gas (none / 0)

Oh .... Jerome Armstrong as bizarre as your pick of Tom Daschle is I think you have better odds with that than the loser John Kerry.

John Kerry would be the pick over David Axelrod's dead body .

Evan Bayh has been picked a few weeks ago


Educated in a small town Taught to fear Jesus in a small town Used to daydream in that small town Another born romantic that's me.
by lori on Thu Aug 21, 2008 at 09:05:43 AM EST

McCain Unsure How Many Homes He Has (none / 0)

Seriously.

http://news.aol.com/political-machine/20 08/08/21/mccain-not-sure-how-many-houses -he-owns/


by suzenews on Thu Aug 21, 2008 at 09:06:16 AM EST

Re: McCain Unsure How Many Homes He Has (none / 0)

Unfortunately, the terms in office of Reagan and Bushboy have demonstrated that a majority of the electorate don't care if Republicans know how many fingers they have.


by Glaurung on Thu Aug 21, 2008 at 09:22:14 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: McCain Unsure How Many Homes He Has (2.00 / 1)

Picking up on the "how many houses" meme, a John Kerry pick eliminates that attack.  Mrs. Kerry is worth far more than Cindy McCain.

from Wikipedia:

To date, Teresa Heinz has declined to disclose her personal tax returns, citing family trusts and privacy. She is estimated to be worth between $750 million and $1.2 billion. According to her most recently released income tax of 2003, Kerry and Heinz paid an effective federal income tax rate of 12%.

Heinz/Kerry owned lots of houses, too.

It's a much better tactic to run any argument through a simple test -- how will this play in, say, mid-state North Carolina or Pennsylvania?  I still use the test of how my father (late) would react to the line of argument.

Also remember that America loves people who have made it.  JFK and Jackie were our rich king and queen.  Everyone knew the Kennedys were rolling in money.  Same for the Bush family.

And read this is from the NYT obituary of FDR, probably our greatest president:

http://www.nytimes.com/learning/general/ onthisday/bday/0130.html

The early life of Franklin Delano Roosevelt was typical of a member of a family of wealth and assured social position--an aristocratic family, as aristocracy is measured on this side of the Atlantic.

His birthplace was a stately mansion on the Roosevelt estate, overlooking the Hudson River and set in the midst of broad acres near Hyde Park. The property had been in the possession of his family for a hundred years.

So forget the Cindy McCain angle.

And for what it's worth, John Kerry makes Joe Biden look exciting.


by strongerthandirt on Thu Aug 21, 2008 at 09:45:56 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Last Chance for Gas (2.00 / 1)

How did Kerry and Daschle make it into the conversation.  Fairly or no both have been branded as losers, and so wouldn't help winning over low-info undecideds or disgruntled Clinton supporters.  Gore is another nutty pick--for starters who think he'd do it?  


by IncognitoErgoSum on Thu Aug 21, 2008 at 09:15:00 AM EST

Repost: Free advice from a Reaganoid (2.00 / 2)

is worth what a Democrat paid for it.

Obama has already decided. I have no problem waiting a few more hours to find out.

And, as some pundit said yesterday -- everyone will care about the selection until it's announced, and then it won't matter any more.


by Glaurung on Thu Aug 21, 2008 at 09:15:54 AM EST

Post-partisanship (2.00 / 1)

Obama campaign is naive in running on post partisanship.  The Clintons were disliked because they were interlopers that prevented the wealthy special interests from running the government.  Unless Obama embraces the wealthy special interests, he too will be the target of the wealthy special interests.  Post-partisanship ends the moment Obama is sworn in.

The economy was great under Clinton.  It is a mistake for any Democrat to NOT run on a return to the Clinton economy.  The Clinton economy is why Hillary got so many votes in the primary.  The Clinton economy is what the older voters remember.  Clinton was more popular when he left office than Reagan was when he left office. Gore and Loserman (I have to admit the Repugs called that one right) distanced themselves from Clinton and KerryEdwards failed to embrace Clinton and both lost.  Having Bill on the campaign trail would be a huge asset.  He is the most popular living ex-president.  Obama has yet to use him effectively.


by bakho on Thu Aug 21, 2008 at 09:19:02 AM EST

Obama is naive in running on post partisanship (none / 0)

It's been amply covered here and elsewhere that Obama is in fact hitting McRisky hard under the radar in local markets that matter.

And I've been seeing him on the news for days criticizing McLame.

He's also opening multiple offices in states McDesperate has taken for granted. And Obama was even drawing a good crowd in LYNCHBURG VA yesterday -- that's Falwellville.

He's running the kind of campaign he did against Hillary, one that you don't see all of unless you look in the right places.


by Glaurung on Thu Aug 21, 2008 at 09:29:26 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Clinton is not the game changer (2.00 / 1)

The only person that can change the game is Obama.

He needs to crisp up his message a bit.

Whoever he picks, it will obviously be way way way better than what Republicans have to offer.

Can you please tell me why asking whether someone is a patriot is a polling question.


overthrow the government~participate
by missliberties on Thu Aug 21, 2008 at 09:21:13 AM EST

Re: Clinton is not the game changer (none / 0)

He needs to come back from vacation. I'm not saying he shouldn't have gone, but Georgia put McCain front and center on his perceived strength.

Now he's faced with a double disaster: his VP pick could get swamped by coverage of Hurrican Fay, which has started to drown Florida.


by TCQuad on Thu Aug 21, 2008 at 09:27:46 AM EST
[ Parent ]

He needs to come back from vacation. (none / 0)

He came back last week and has been campaigning hard.


by Glaurung on Thu Aug 21, 2008 at 09:31:04 AM EST
[ Parent ]

The oddness that an election (2.00 / 1)

boils down to a war on talking points.

Obama needs to get a stronger, consistent, short easy to remember narrative going.

I think he's brilliant and support him 110%, but it is unreal the evil that Republican's unleash against any Democrat.

Obama had a cold at saddleback, and was a bit off. After enjoying time with your family relaxing and loving, I can see why he would not relish coming back into the poisonous cauldron that is Republican campaigning.

Why do Pollsters ask, "Is he a Patriot". I mean really. That is just such a ridiculous question to put in front of the American people.

Who in their right mind would even want to consider running for President these days........ knowing the slander that's coming  your way?


overthrow the government~participate
by missliberties on Thu Aug 21, 2008 at 09:47:21 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Vacations (none / 0)

In retrospect, it was an insistence on taking an August vacation that did in Ned Lamont's Senate bid against LIEberman.

I wish Obama had waited a couple more months to take one-like at Christmas.


"There are two kinds of statistics: the kind you look up and the kind you make up" --Rex Stout
by LIsoundview on Thu Aug 21, 2008 at 10:30:49 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Vacations (none / 0)

In this case, I think it was a good idea at the time. Olympics, August quiet... There shouldn't have been much coverage anyways, so take the moment you can.

But, then Georgia happened. Now Fay's happening. And all the VP buzz is so keyed up that everything else is hidden.

Good idea, bad luck.


by TCQuad on Thu Aug 21, 2008 at 10:40:00 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Snooze/Lose (none / 0)

Kerry's windsurfing jaunt from the same mindset didn't work well for him either.

Reagan was happy to play politics with the Iranian hostages.

In the tin foilhat room, they are hinting that Bushboy give his good friend Pooty Poot the go ahead to have max bad impact.

Even if the tinfoiloids are wrong, expecting this kind of move from Republicans is just giving them an opening.

Never turn your back--and Obama shouldn't have.  

He should have declared he was taking a staycation and stayed home, taking a lighter schedule, and keeping his ear to the ground.


"There are two kinds of statistics: the kind you look up and the kind you make up" --Rex Stout
by LIsoundview on Thu Aug 21, 2008 at 10:45:58 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Clinton is not the game changer (none / 0)

You fail to grasp the idea of Unity.  Half of Hillary's supporters have yet to commit to Obama.  Putting Hillary on the ticket brings a lot more Dems to the voting booth come November.  Putting (fill in the blank) on the ticket means more of a nail-biter come November.


Purity! Or else!
by ChitownDenny on Thu Aug 21, 2008 at 04:35:07 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Schweitzer (none / 0)


McCain - a serial Opportunist, from marriage to policy positions
by TarHeel on Thu Aug 21, 2008 at 09:23:36 AM EST

Love him! (none / 0)

 He rocks. But we need him in Montana.


overthrow the government~participate
by missliberties on Thu Aug 21, 2008 at 09:38:42 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Last Chance for Gas (2.00 / 1)

Kerry?

It truly is silly season at MyDD.


by tomanderson13 on Thu Aug 21, 2008 at 09:24:45 AM EST

Re: Last Chance for Gas (none / 0)

It has to be a "star" in my opinion and we need every vote and some momentum and I trust Obama will deliver on that. We need Clinton she is ready for battle. Gore would be great too but is he ready? Is he hungry? Maybe I don't know.


by canadian on Thu Aug 21, 2008 at 09:27:02 AM EST

Re: Last Chance for Gas (none / 0)

It would be absolutely absurd for Obama to pick Kerry. "I'm the candidate of change -- and to prove it, my running mate's going to be the guy who lost the prez race in 04 by running an utterly incompetent campaign."

Tom Daschle? Really? If he picks Daschle or Kerry and McCain picks Palin or Whitman, Mac might win by 5 points... and I'm an Obama backer who has given money to his campaign.

Don't do it, O. Don't listen to these folks.


by schulz52 on Thu Aug 21, 2008 at 09:27:35 AM EST

Daschle Lost as an Incumbent (none / 0)

to the blecherous Thune.

He did it by running an incompetent campaign in a state he knew or should have known very, very well.  He was also a very mediocre majority leader.

Why on earth would Obama be so quick to listen to Daschle?


"There are two kinds of statistics: the kind you look up and the kind you make up" --Rex Stout
by LIsoundview on Thu Aug 21, 2008 at 10:41:23 AM EST
[ Parent ]

I don't care anymore (none / 0)

Just pick someone damn it.  I am praying Obama picks someone today.  It is next to impossible to avoid the VP speculation of progressive blogs.  Please, please, please make this end today.


Consider that everything which happens, happens justly, and if thou observest carefully, thou wilt find it to be so. -Marcus Aurelius
by Blue Neponset on Thu Aug 21, 2008 at 09:29:06 AM EST

Just pick someone damn it. (2.00 / 1)

Yeah. The speculation has reached the apex (or nadir) of silliness. It's like guessing which horse will win without even knowing which horses are in the race.


by Glaurung on Thu Aug 21, 2008 at 09:35:41 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: I don't care anymore (none / 0)

I agree.

We need to move from the incessant VP speculation to the incessant VP whining/cheering posthaste!


by TCQuad on Thu Aug 21, 2008 at 10:12:11 AM EST
[ Parent ]

What about Gephardt? (none / 0)

While not necessarily a "game changer", Dick Gephardt certainly fulfills the "well known and ready to go" criteria. He's popular with seniors and working class voters, was under constant media scrunity for nearly two decades as a presidential candidate and congressional leader, is from a bellwether state, and has some key allies in the Obama inner circle (Plouffe and Burton). While he wouldn't be the most exciting choice, he'd bring the Biden/Kerry style gravitas without the gaffe potential.


by Practical Progressive on Thu Aug 21, 2008 at 09:29:09 AM EST

how can he pick (none / 0)

Kerry to be his VP when McCain is the opponent?  How can he pick Kerry -- the same Kerry who lost to Bush because he was seen as not being able to fight back... the same Kerry who ASKED MCCAIN TO BE HIS VP!!!!

I would shit my pants if he picked Kerry.


vote blue in 2008
by sepulvedaj3 on Thu Aug 21, 2008 at 09:33:12 AM EST

Re: Last Chance for Gas (none / 0)

As I've mentioned I don't think it's going to be Hillary and I don't think Gore has any interest in being a VP again, so it's either going to be an, "eh, okay pick" some people will like, some will hate, but overall, eh. Like Biden, Bayh, etc..., "surprise, not sure about type of pick", Powell, Paneta, Kerry, Daschle any general not named Clark, etc... "hmmm, okay, but not sure if this is the right choice" Kaine, Sebelius, or anyone that doesn't have "experience", especially on foreign matters. "I don't really like, but... pick" Could be a good pick, I can see the benefits of how it could help Obama win and I can live with it, but I don't really like it, someone like a Sam Nunn.  Or the "yuk" pick, like Hagel.
I know some people would include Bayh or a number of people in the yuk category, but I'm trying to be objective on how the pick will play out overall.
by oden on Thu Aug 21, 2008 at 09:34:39 AM EST

Re: Last Chance for Gas (none / 0)

Probably shouldn't have put Kerry and Daschle in the "surprise" category as they wouldn't that big of a surprise, like say a Paneta, but they are in the "not sure about type of pick"


by oden on Thu Aug 21, 2008 at 09:41:34 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Last Chance for Gas (none / 0)

If it's not Clinton, Obama will not win Pennsylvania. So, the question is, can he win the presidency without Pennsylvania? If he picks anybody other than Clinton, his strategy has to include conceeding PA.

Without Clinton on the ticket, close races on the down ticket will suffer. Winable contests for the Pennsylvania Legislature will be lost.


by jfoster on Thu Aug 21, 2008 at 09:37:55 AM EST

With the oppo research at the ready (none / 0)

The Republicans would have a field day with Clinton and her husband Bill. Jim Corsi would be able to sell another book!

Or did you forget that Hillary was treated with kid gloves by Republicans.

If she were VP not so much.

Clinton did well in the primaries because Republicans quit attacking her.

Don't be so naive.


overthrow the government~participate
by missliberties on Thu Aug 21, 2008 at 09:42:33 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: With the oppo research at the ready (none / 0)

It's not about the Republicans. It's about the Democrats. I've been canvassing outside of Philadelphia for two State Representatives and our Congressional candidate, and consistently, 25% of Democrats say they ain't voting for Obama because of the way he treated, "the Clintons".

That's a big number. So what percent of that group won't vote at all? Whatever it is, Dems in close local races are going to suffer.


by jfoster on Thu Aug 21, 2008 at 10:33:49 AM EST
[ Parent ]

So you think that IF Clinton (none / 0)

was nominated the Republicans wouldn't start licking their chops, and do their swiftboating on Hillary.

Of course they would.

My point is Hillary and Republicans attack Obama during the primary. The Republicans DID NOT attack Hillary at all. Get it. They treated her with kid gloves.

If she were to have received the same swiftboating as Obama I doubt if she would have done so well.

Why did the Republicans treat HIllary with kid gloves, is the question and did it affect Hillary's numbers.


overthrow the government~participate
by missliberties on Thu Aug 21, 2008 at 04:27:19 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: With the oppo research at the ready (none / 0)

They aren't having a "field day" with Obama?  It's a Dem year; how's the Dem doing?


Purity! Or else!
by ChitownDenny on Thu Aug 21, 2008 at 04:42:06 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Just Not True (2.00 / 1)

Obama is polling well ahead of McCain in PA. Clinton would certainly put him even further ahead, but where she'd really make a difference is Ohio and Pennsylvania. The only question is whether she hurts him with independent voters and disaffected Republicans in states like Montana, Colorado, and Virginia. I have no doubt the Obama campaign has polled Clinton extensively, and if they believe she helps more than she hurts she'll absolutely be the VP pick. Obama is a cutthroat politician. He'll do whatever he believes it takes to win, including putting his former rival on the ticket.


by Hatch on Thu Aug 21, 2008 at 09:47:00 AM EST
[ Parent ]

OK (none / 0)

He won't win Pennsylvania even though he's been ahead by 5-15 pts there without Clinton.  I think it's quite possible that he just MAY be able to win that state without her.  We'll see what the next poll says, but I suspect the stealth neg campaign is working and Penn will remain firmly in Obama's camp, even as the national race tightens.

I'm not saying whether or not she'll help there or hurt there or anywhere.  Personally, I can see pros (covers two camps, she's a crafty campaigner who ran into a buzzsaw with obama, she provides experience, she'll kick butt in debates with mitt or, oh, god, please, lieberman, the clinton name, health care...if she can get it through this time) and cons (she's a lightning rod for hatred, it highlights her claim mccain passes the c-i-c test while obama doesn't, she's a lightning rod for hatred, she bites into his change meme, a lot of people really, really, really don't like her)...

You know, as I write her pluses, I've come to feel she'd be a better and better choice.  However, enough with this Hillary-or-Bust crap!  It's just not true...it's NOT desperation time just because polls have the race tightening BEFORE the convention.  Obama's clearly running a long-term, multi-pronged attack (and i love him for it)...if you were a Hillary supporter in the primaries and you need a reason to have faith in it, Clinton's a great campaigner, and he out-maneuvered her. As long as Obama has a VP who doesn't do harm, he's in good shape.


by thurst on Thu Aug 21, 2008 at 09:57:42 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Obama is well ahead in PA (2.00 / 1)

Not s single poll since May has shown McCain up in PA. It is not as much a swing state as people think.

Ohio is more applicable to your comment.


by elrod on Thu Aug 21, 2008 at 10:29:59 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Last Chance for Gas (none / 0)

I'd agree with the basic thesis about Clinton.

If Obama picks Clinton, he wins the election the moment after he, Michelle, Hillary, and Bill are photographed taking the stage together after Obama's acceptance speech.

The problem with Clinton isn't electoral, it's with what happens afterward in the White House.

Kerry is complicated. US Senator John Kerry is objectively better as a VP pick than Bayh, Biden, or Kaine. Former Presidential Candidate John Kerry is not, and would further sour independents and other on-the-fence Dems against him.


by blueflorida on Thu Aug 21, 2008 at 09:38:18 AM EST

Re: Last Chance for Gas (none / 0)

I don't know - I think Hillary is occupied in the VP slot heading up a massive overhaul of health care.  I think it is her primary interest, her legacy, and something that would fully occupy both her and Bill sufficiently so that they're not competing with Obama on other issues, including foreign relations.


by milton333 on Thu Aug 21, 2008 at 12:02:14 PM EST
[ Parent ]

Tom's Advice (2.00 / 1)

You make it sound like Obama is just a puppet of Tom Daschle. What does Daschle know about picking a VP, anyway? He's never been President. Obama is going to choose a VP however he wants, I doubt he's so stubborn that he'd refuse to even consider Clinton if his campaign's internal polling indicates she might be able to guarantee his victory.


by Hatch on Thu Aug 21, 2008 at 09:51:58 AM EST

Re: Tom's Advice (none / 0)

I would think the foremost criteria for a VP would be trust.  Bill Clinton, for whatever reason, has been increasingly outspoken against the Obama campaign.  Since Hillary has not spoken up against any of that, I think that would leave her as not viable as VP, polling numbers notwithstanding.  


by mady on Thu Aug 21, 2008 at 10:45:49 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Idiocy (none / 0)

This is one in a long line of bizarre posts. Obama is not picking Daschle and he is not picking Kerry.

Clinton would be a game changer, but I'm not certain if it would be good or bad. It would instantly change his strategy from focusing on Independents in the suburbs to blue collar whites in Appalachian Ohio.


by elrod on Thu Aug 21, 2008 at 10:31:40 AM EST

Good analysis (none / 0)

If he were to pick Clinton, I think you are correct that he would be giving up on the suburban Independent vote, and instead working on the Appalachian vote.  

I am not sure who he is going to pick at this point, but unless it is Al Gore, I think it is going to disappoint.  

Both campaigns I think have made a mistake by waiting until just before the conventions to announce the choice.  Even though this was common in the past, the media has built this up into a frenzy.  


by gavoter on Thu Aug 21, 2008 at 10:39:11 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Not a bad idea, considering the CW (none / 0)

The rust belt still thinks that Kerry should be president, the same way that Florida thinks it shoulda been Gore. Picking Kerry would definitely help push Obama over the edge in those places.

But while we're entertaining these outlandish thoughts, why not Ted Kennedy?

Obama-Kennedy: No fucking way we're losing this one


John McCain: Four More Years of Failure.
by dannybauder on Thu Aug 21, 2008 at 10:38:10 AM EST

Re: Not a bad idea, considering the CW (none / 0)

Pushing aside all of Kennedy's health issues, I know an awful lot of people who still talk about Chappaquiddick.  Even people too young to be alive at the time.  They don't seem to care that he is Senator from Massachusetts, but they wouldn't support him for anything else.


by gavoter on Thu Aug 21, 2008 at 10:50:36 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: Not a bad idea, considering the CW (none / 0)

I don't think that's as big an issue as you think. In 1980, Ted campaigned in Wilkes-Barre, PA, about two miles from where Mary Jo grew up. 10,000 people showed up to see him speak. The local papers covered the rally, and had a reaction from the Kopechne family below the fold. It's out there, but it's not the top thing in his legacy. The fact that he is the last surviving Kennedy eclipses all that.


John McCain: Four More Years of Failure.
by dannybauder on Thu Aug 21, 2008 at 10:59:42 AM EST
[ Parent ]

are u going (none / 0)

for an age contrast?

How can we go after McCain for being a hot head and old, and then throw up (figuratively and literally) Teddy Kennedy?


vote blue in 2008
by sepulvedaj3 on Thu Aug 21, 2008 at 11:47:09 AM EST
[ Parent ]

Re: are u going (none / 0)

fair enough... i guess that does create contrasting negatives, but so does Kerry and Biden, the latter spending the last 31 years in the Senate.


John McCain: Four More Years of Failure.
by dannybauder on Thu Aug 21, 2008 at 11:53:39 AM EST
[ Parent ]

On the plus side (2.00 / 1)

I won't need to keep my cell phone handy for the text message.  I'll just hear the hysterical laughter coming from the street.


by sneakers563 on Thu Aug 21, 2008 at 11:16:56 AM EST

Re: Last Chance for Gas (none / 0)

Hillary or bust.  This shit is so damn obvious.  Put aside your ego and select a fighter of rural America.


by nzubechukwu on Thu Aug 21, 2008 at 11:17:45 AM EST

Re: Last Chance for Gas (none / 0)

another thing Kerry could bring to the game is a sense of outrage.

Kerry at the top of the ticket in 04, was reticent about responding tho the swiftboating attacks, but as a VP to Obama he would be doubly free to do so.  

First, because it would fall within the historical 'attack dog' roll of VP's in the campaign.

Secondly, because he himself has been wronged by these sorts of attacks and his responses to such lines of attack, might burnish his reputation while reinforcing the idea of McCain as Bush 2.0


by cargocult on Thu Aug 21, 2008 at 12:03:10 PM EST

Kerry "a better choice than Tom Daschle" (none / 0)

is what I call damning with faint praise. Daschle's name keeps coming up, proving that the silly season for Veepstakes is still in full swing. Let's keep a couple of things in mind:

1) Daschle is the first Majority Leader in history to be defeated in a bid for re-election to the Senate, and
2) While he was an early Obama supporter, South Dakota went for HRC in its primary. Keep in mind, this was the very day that the DNC had selected to hand the nomination to Obama, with an hourly announcement of new super's declaring for Barack. That SD voters still went to the polls to vote for Hillary is not a ringing endorsement of Daschle's clout.

To put in charitably, Daschle's best days are behind him. With respect to Kerry, he violates one of the cardinal rules in politics: you have to be liked.


by BJJ Fighter on Thu Aug 21, 2008 at 12:07:09 PM EST

Re: Last Chance for Gas (2.00 / 1)

I don't completely agree that Obama's VP has to be a huge name. If he picks someone with relatively low name recognition, he can help form the narrative around that person, although there is little time to do so. Kerry and Daschle both have strong narratives already established for them, which is not a good thing in their cases, and they aren't going away easily.

I'm really concerned about Obama picking a Senator with a Republican governor. Bayh, Dodd, and Reed should be off the table, along with any other senator in a state with a GOP governor and no rules about the party affiliation of replacements. With the Democrats flirting with that 60-seat line (or 61-seat, to trump Joe), I can't believe that Obama would do that or that Schumer would let him without a fight. Bayh as VP would be bad enough; allowing Mitch Daniels to replace him in the Senate would be a double disappointment.

Lieberman's status also worries me. If McCain wins the presidency, Jodi Rell will be appointing a Republican to fill the remaining four years of Lieberman's term. There is no way that Lieberman will not be in McCain's cabinet, unless he was already his VP. So losing the presidency comes with a guaranteed "loss" of Lieberman's Senate seat and his votes on some core Democratic issues. However, losing Lieberman would have plenty of benefits, namely that it would be easier to defeat a Republican replacement in 2012 than to defeat Lieberman (although that probably wouldn't be hard either).

If Obama wins, Lieberman stays in the Senate but will be of no importance and probably will have no seniority in the Democratic caucus. So Lieberman's fate is tied directly to McCain's at this point. Either way, he will be of no consequence in the Senate.


by bpfish on Thu Aug 21, 2008 at 12:56:42 PM EST

Re: Last Chance for Gas (none / 0)

No, no, no, no, no.

Not Kerry, Not Clinton, Not Bayh, not Dachle.

Schweitaer.  Clark.  Clarke.  Feingold. Richardson.


John McCain, maverick
by lojasmo on Thu Aug 21, 2008 at 02:55:37 PM EST

Re: Last Chance for Gas (none / 0)

John Kerry is a stupendously bad choice.

Kerry was succesfully painted as an elitist out of touch.

Kerry hits far below his weight, he just isn't a credible attack dog.

Kerry has a wife every bit as rich as McCain and totally removes what may be Obama's last hope on the personal attack front.

Even the unknowns are better picks than Kerry

If you want to pick the 2nd best after Clinton look at Powell, Gore, Biden, EVEN CARTER is a better VP choice.

I thought Kerry was a drudge joke but if there is serious movement in that direction it just shows you that Team Obama caught a lucky wave and generally don't know what they are doing.


by dtaylor2 on Thu Aug 21, 2008 at 04:03:20 PM EST


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